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disclosure

Polymarket aliens-confirmation deadline arrives with no government statement

Polymarket's prediction market, 'Will the US confirm that aliens exist by ...?', resolves on 30 April 2026 at 11:59pm Eastern. The market would have paid out 'Yes' if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency had definitively stated that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by the deadline. As of the morning of 30 April, no such statement has been made by the Trump administration, by the Department of War, by the Department of Energy, by NASA, by the FBI or by AARO. Polymarket reported approximately 29.4 million US dollars in trading volume on the market as of 28 April. The market's resolution to 'No' provides a quantifiable timestamp for the gap between Trump's repeated 'very, very soon' UAP file release statements (most recently on 18 and 29 April) and any operative federal statement of confirmation. The aliens.gov and alien.gov domains remain registered but inactive. The Pentagon's 14 April video deadline and the Comer-Burlison 27 April briefing deadline remain both unresolved.

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